Vol: IV_21 vs C-DM-RV_21
🎯 Trade Ideas Today (HIGH + MEDIUM conviction)
📏 Sizing: Flat fractional (defined-risk: X% of account per trade, undefined-risk: BPR 5% max per position). NOT Kelly — Kelly would be ~15-25% per trade at our 60%+ win rate but requires validated live edge first. Half-Kelly on validated edge would be ~7-12%; we're using 1-2% flat until real track record exists.
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IV_21 (market)
Fair IV (ensemble model)
C-DM-RV_21
Earnings
Price (candles) with 1σ Bollinger Bands (20)
Up candle
Down candle
SMA(20)
±1σ band
Earnings